Climate change could lead to global tensions, says US intelligence report

Climate change could lead to global tensions, says US intelligence report


US intelligence has warned that climate change will lead to growing international tensions. The very first National Intelligence Estimate on Climate Change sheds light on the impact of climate on national security through 2040. It warns of the risks if some countries use futuristic geoengineering technologies alone.

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US intelligence has warned that climate change will lead to growing international tensions. The very first National Intelligence Estimate on Climate Change sheds light on the impact of climate on national security through 2040. It warns of the risks if some countries use futuristic geoengineering technologies alone.

The assessment is a collective view of all 18 US intelligence agencies.

He talks about how the world is not cooperating and moving towards dangerous competition and instability. “A decline in fossil fuel revenues would continue to weigh on Middle Eastern countries, which are likely to face greater climatic impacts,” the report said.

The report identifies 11 countries and two regions where energy, food, water and health security are at risk. This is because they tend to be poorer and less adaptable. Five of the eleven countries are in South and East Asia, including Afghanistan, Burma, India, Pakistan and North Korea. Four countries are in Central America and the Caribbean, including Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras and Nicaragua. Colombia and Iraq are the other. Central Africa and small states in the Pacific are also at risk.

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The Arctic is likely to be a major problem as it becomes more accessible as the ice shrinks.

This can open up new shipping routes and access to fish stocks, but it can also create the risk of misjudgments when the military marches in.

Access to water is also becoming a source of problems. In the Middle East and North Africa, around 60 percent of surface water resources are transboundary. Meanwhile, the Mekong Basin could cause problems between China and Cambodia and Vietnam, the report warns.

Another source of risk is that a country might choose to use geoengineering. Futuristic technology is used here.

However, if one country acts alone, it could simply shift the problem to another region and generate anger among other nations that are negatively affected.

Researchers in countries such as Australia, China, India, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States, as well as several EU members, are studying these techniques. However, there are few rules or regulations.

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